OPEC+ bumps supply again as market wobbles

OPEC+ bumps supply again as market wobbles
2025-05-03T15:51:01+00:00

Shafaq News/ OPEC+ will raise oil production by 411,000 barrels per day in June, the group announced on Saturday, marking the second consecutive monthly increase, even as prices fall and demand forecasts weaken.

Following a brief online meeting, the alliance of major oil producers—including Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Russia, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman—said the market fundamentals remain healthy, with plans to hold a full ministerial meeting on May 28.

Saturday’s hike continues the phased rollback of a 2.2 million bpd cut agreed in December by eight key OPEC+ members. The gradual increases—about 138,000 bpd per month starting April—will total 960,000 bpd by the end of June, amounting to 44% of the cut, according to Reuters calculations.

The decision also came under pressure from Washington, with US President Donald Trump urging OPEC+ to ramp up supplies ahead of his scheduled visit to Saudi Arabia later in May.

The group, however, still holds back nearly 5 million bpd in supply, with many of those curbs set to remain until end-2026. Saudi officials have reportedly told partners and industry stakeholders they are not willing to prop up prices with further cuts. "Compliance again appears to be the key focus, with Kazakhstan and Iraq continuing to miss their compensation targets, alongside Russia to a lesser extent," said Helima Croft of RBC Capital Markets.

Brent crude futures fell more than 1% on Friday to $61.29 a barrel as traders braced for more oil. Prices had already dipped below $60 in April—hitting a four-year low—after OPEC+ announced a larger-than-expected output boost for May and Trump's imposed tariffs that raised concerns over a global economic slowdown.

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